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The motherhood penalty and low fertility in China: a pseudo-event study

题目The motherhood penalty and low fertility in China: a pseudo-event study
作者Wei Huang; 王一平; 吴汉涛; 周毅
作者单位Peking Univ, China Ctr Econ Res CCER, Natl Sch Dev NSD, Beijing, Peoples R China Princeton Univ, Off Populat Res, Princeton, NJ USA Peking Univ, Ctr Social Res, 5 Yiheyuan Rd, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China Peking Univ, Guanghua Sch Management, 5 Yiheyuan Rd, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
关键词：POLICY DIFFERENTIALS PARENTHOOD INEQUALITY EARNINGS CHILDREN
时间：2025年2月13日
出版者：JOURNAL OF POPULATION ECONOMICS
摘要Using census data from 2000 to 2015 and a pseudo-event study design, this paper estimates the magnitude, distribution, and trend of the motherhood penalty in China, while examining its relationship with the country's declining fertility rates. The findings reveal that one-third of working women leave the labor market in the year they give birth, with the penalty persisting for over 8 years. The magnitude of the penalty increased significantly during the study period across most provinces, and regions with larger increases in the penalty experienced sharper declines in fertility rates. A mover-based design analysis shows that when women migrate to provinces with higher motherhood penalties, their fertility rates drop significantly. This study contributes to the literature by applying a novel pseudo-event study approach to cross-sectional data, offering new insights into the interaction between labor market constraints and fertility decisions in a rapidly evolving socio-economic context.
URLhttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/736119
ISSN0933-1433
DOI10.1007/s00148-025-01078-3
收录情况SSCI
作者单位 Peking Univ, China Ctr Econ Res CCER, Natl Sch Dev NSD, Beijing, Peoples R China Princeton Univ, Off Populat Res, Princeton, NJ USA Peking Univ, Ctr Social Res, 5 Yiheyuan Rd, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China Peking Univ, Guanghua Sch Management, 5 Yiheyuan Rd, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China 时间 2025年2月13日
出版者 JOURNAL OF POPULATION ECONOMICS URL http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/736119
ISSN 0933-1433 DOI 10.1007/s00148-025-01078-3
收录情况 SSCI 分类
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